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LIMITLESS - Dwarkesh Patel: The Scaling Era of AI is Here
July 29, 2025
- The AI scaling era is characterized by exponentially increasing compute used to train AI models, a trend that is unsustainable due to energy and manufacturing limitations by 2028-2030.
- While the exact mechanisms remain unclear, the scaling of compute and data in AI models demonstrates a pattern similar to brain scaling in primates, leading to reasoning capabilities and proficiency in areas that humans find difficult, such as coding.
- Despite AI's advancements, a critical bottleneck in achieving AGI lies in its inability to learn continually and adapt dynamically on the job, hindering its capacity to fully replace human labor.